All eyes are on Trump's reaction to the 'mother of all deals' between India and the EU

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U.S President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi successful Washington, DC, connected Feb. 13, 2025.

Andrew Caballero-reynolds | Afp | Getty Images

The ink is hardly adust connected the European Union and India's historical commercialized woody but each eyes are present connected however President Donald Trump volition respond to the escaped commercialized statement that's wide seen arsenic a strategical hedge against the U.S.' volatile commercialized policies and tariff threats.

The deal, which was confirmed earlier Tuesday, has taken astir 2 decades to hold and volition spot the trading behemoths gradually chopped tariffs to zero connected the bulk of each other's imports, but connected immoderate cardinal products and sectors.

Trump is yet to respond publically to the EU-India deal, which was announced successful the aboriginal hours of Tuesday greeting European time, but helium and the White House are improbable to beryllium blessed with the deal. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has already criticized the EU for forging up with a commercialized statement with India.

"The U.S. has made overmuch bigger sacrifices than Europeans have. We person enactment 25% tariffs connected India for buying Russian oil. Guess what happened past week? The Europeans signed a commercialized woody with India," Bessent told ABC News Sunday.

India's Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri told CNBC Tuesday that helium expected the U.S.-India narration to stay affirmative and for a commercialized woody to beryllium completed soon.

"The narration operation [between the U.S. and India] is precise strong. I would effort and look astatine the affirmative side, I'm not a soothsayer, I don't cognize erstwhile commercialized deals volition get signed, however agelong it takes ... but everybody needs to chill a bit." Hardeep Singh Puri told CNBC's Amitoj Singh.

India supported the multilateral trading system, helium said, and this was evident successful the latest woody with the EU: "If you were to marque the connection that the multilateral trading system, the planetary economy, is undergoing challenges, past I don't deliberation anyone would privation to situation that assessment. On the Indian side, determination are respective sectors which are looking to an enhanced European market," helium said.

How volition Trump react?

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi praised the "landmark" escaped commercialized statement earlier, calling it the "mother of each deals," portion European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the statement volition let the 2 sides to turn their strategical relationship. 

EU, India denote  landmark escaped  commercialized   agreement

Both leaders are owed to talk astatine an EU-India acme aboriginal Tuesday and are apt to praise a woody that sees commercialized barriers eased and tariffs slashed astatine a clip erstwhile their export-oriented industries look punitive duties from the U.S.

The White House imposed a 15% tariff connected EU imports past twelvemonth despite agreeing connected a commercialized deal with the bloc, portion goods from India were slapped with a much punitive 50%, successful portion due to the fact that of its ongoing lipid purchases from Russia.

Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, manager of the European Centre for International Political Economy, said the EU-India commercialized woody is 1 of the champion agreements disposable to the 2 sides, which person traditionally been protectionist erstwhile it comes to strategical sectors of their economies, similar agriculture and autos.

"This is simply a woody that they tin bash that volition person a affirmative impact, portion the U.S. and China volition stay closed arsenic caller marketplace openings go. So successful that respect, this is astir apt 1 of the champion deals they tin bash astatine the moment," Lee-Makiyama told CNBC Tuesday.

EU-India commercialized   pact 'one of the champion  deals' they tin  do, says analyst

Both India and the EU had reasons for forging up with a deal, contempt the inevitable wrath it mightiness unleash successful Washington, helium added.

"But determination is simply a important quality [with this landmark deal], though, which is that India really failed to unafraid the woody with United States," portion "EU commercialized ministers are present getting utilized to the information that determination is simply a caller tariff menace coming from Washington each week, and of course, their skins get a small spot thicker [each time]," helium told CNBC's "Europe Early Edition."

Needs must

There volition undoubtedly beryllium immoderate wariness successful Europe astir upsetting the U.S. astatine a clip erstwhile its committedness to its European allies appears highly vulnerable, peculiarly erstwhile it comes to the corporate defence rule that's a cardinal tenet of the NATO subject alliance.

David McAllister, member of the European Parliament and seat of its overseas affairs committee, summed up the balancing enactment that the portion needs to support betwixt pursuing its ain economical interests portion maintaining bully relations with Washington.

"Europe needs to go much sovereign. Europe needs to turn up, and that means that we request to go economically much competitive," helium told CNBC's "Europe Early Edition" connected Tuesday.

"We request to bash overmuch much for our ain information and defense, but we besides privation to support the adjacent transatlantic narration with the United States ... but this narration needs to beryllium based connected communal respect and trust," helium said.

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