'Battered and bruised but still standing': WTO chief on global trade after tariffs

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A cargo vessel is loading and unloading overseas commercialized containers astatine Qingdao Port successful Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China connected July 28, 2025.

CFOTO | Future Publishing | Getty Images

Global commercialized is not broken, contempt the disruption, unit and daze of commercialized tariffs introduced by the U.S. this year, the caput of the World Trade Organization (WTO) told CNBC Tuesday.

"Many radical person the content that, due to the fact that of the unilateral actions of the U.S., that planetary commercialized is broken. Yes [they've] been a large disruption — the top disruption of planetary commercialized successful 80 years — but we are pleased to spot the resilience of the system," WTO Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said.

"The strategy is battered, it's bruised, but it's inactive standing," she told CNBC's Dan Murphy connected the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative successful Saudi Arabia.

Okonjo-Iweala's comments travel arsenic U.S. President Donald Trump, the designer of aggregate U.S. tariffs connected overseas imports to the States, continues a circuit of Asia in which helium has signed commercialized deals and truces, truthful far.

But the large prize for Trump volition beryllium whether helium and Chinese President Xi Jinping, who are owed to conscionable Thursday, can travel to a woody to trim duties and counter-tariffs connected a scope of each other's goods. Trump said Monday that Washington and Beijing were poised to "come distant with" a commercialized deal, raising marketplace hopes.

 The strategy   is battered and bruised but inactive  standing

"We bash privation that the gathering goes precise well," Okonjo-Iweala said, noting that immoderate de-escalation successful commercialized tensions would beryllium welcome.

"Any menace of disconnect and struggle betwixt China and the U.S. successful commercialized is not bully for either state oregon for the world. Any menace of fragmentation oregon part betwixt the two, into 2 planetary trading camps, volition pb to losses successful planetary welfare, and the poorer countries volition beryllium harder hit," she said.

WTO forecast 

Earlier successful October, the WTO hiked its forecast for planetary commercialized maturation successful 2025, but warned the outlook for 2026 had deteriorated.

Despite predicting that commercialized measurement maturation would basal astatine 2.4% this year, up sharply from a erstwhile estimation of 0.9% successful the commercialized body's August report, the WTO slashed its erstwhile anticipation of 1.8% commercialized measurement maturation adjacent twelvemonth to a lackluster 0.5%.

It cited a cooling planetary system and the interaction of higher tariffs arsenic a crushed for the revision.

Trade tariffs person go a ascendant feature, and headwind, for planetary commerce since U.S. President Donald Trump shocked friends and foes alike with his widescale tariffs authorities successful April.

Countries scrambled to scope commercialized deals with the White House but adjacent allies, specified arsenic the U.K., person seen a baseline 10% tariff stay connected goods exported to the U.S.

Global commercialized volumes roseate sharply successful the archetypal fractional of 2025 — up 4.9% twelvemonth connected twelvemonth — with respective factors contributing to the robust expansion.

These included the front-loading of imports into the U.S. successful anticipation of higher commercialized tariffs, and favorable macroeconomic conditions with disinflation, supportive fiscal policies and choky labour markets boosting existent incomes and spending successful large economies, the WTO said.

Strong maturation successful emerging markets and accrued request for artificial intelligence-related goods — including semiconductors, servers and telecommunications instrumentality — besides fueled planetary commercialized growth, it added, with AI-related spending driving astir fractional of the wide commercialized enlargement successful the archetypal fractional of the year, rising 20% twelvemonth connected twelvemonth successful worth terms.

Global contention erstwhile it comes to processing AI-related products has heated up.

The WTO noted that the U.S. accounted for astir one-fifth of planetary AI-related commercialized maturation successful the archetypal fractional of 2025. The bulk of the enlargement came from Asia, however, which accounted for astir two-thirds of planetary AI-related commercialized maturation successful the aforesaid clip period.

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