China manufacturing slump deepens to 6-month low in October, as PMI misses estimates

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Chinese-made automobiles and operation machinery are assembled and shipped for export astatine Yantai Port successful Yantai City, Shandong Province, China, connected October 21, 2025.

Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

China's manufacturing enactment successful October contracted much than expected, shrinking to its lowest since April, an authoritative survey showed connected Friday, arsenic commercialized tensions with Washington reignited during the month.

The authoritative manufacturing purchasing managers' scale came successful astatine 49.0, information from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, missing economists' expectations for 49.6 successful a Reuters poll. A speechmaking supra the 50 benchmark indicates maturation portion 1 beneath that suggests contraction.

The latest speechmaking reversed the betterment successful caller months, aft the PMI roseate to a six-month precocious of 49.8 successful September, compared to 49.4 successful August and 49.3 successful July.

The country's manufacturing enactment has remained successful contraction since April, erstwhile U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff run pressured Chinese factories arsenic good arsenic planetary demand.

China's economy expanded 4.8% successful the 3rd quarter, marking the slowest maturation successful a year. Adding to the constraint connected the economy, fixed-asset concern unexpectedly contracted 0.5% successful the archetypal 9 months of the twelvemonth — the archetypal specified diminution since 2020 during the pandemic — according to information going backmost to 1992 from Wind Information.

Large concern firms saw their profits surge the astir successful astir 2 years, rising 21.6% successful October from a twelvemonth earlier arsenic the declines successful factory-gate prices eased amid Beijing's run to rein successful a bruising terms warfare and excess capacity.

Domestic request has remained sluggish, with a protracted spot slump and brushed labor-market conditions eroding households' spending power.

China and the U.S. reached a commercialized truce connected Thursday aft months of rising tensions, de-escalating the concern that had threatened to propulsion the world's 2 largest economies into a full-blown commercialized war.

Trump said the U.S. would instantly chopped the 20% fentanyl-linked tariffs connected Chinese goods by half, and successful turn, Beijing would resume "massive" purchases of American soybeans and different workplace products. China besides agreed to intermission its sweeping rare-earth controls for a twelvemonth portion taking steps to stem the travel of precursor chemicals utilized successful fentanyl production. Both sides agreed to suspend fees for 1 twelvemonth connected ships that dock astatine each other's ports.

But analysts cautioned that the gathering fell abbreviated of a broad pact that addresses issues halfway to the U.S.-China rivalry and different contentious issues, including Taiwan, making the woody susceptible to different escalation successful the delicate detente.

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