Bubble beverage whitethorn person started arsenic a playful drink, but it has grown into an manufacture worthy billions.
The planetary bubble beverage marketplace size volition turn from $2.83 cardinal successful 2025 to $4.78 cardinal by 2032, according to a report from Fortune Business Insights.
This year, 3 Chinese bubble beverage chains — Mixue Group, Guming Holdings and Auntea Jenny — listed successful Hong Kong, and raised much than $700 cardinal arsenic investors stake connected China's fast-growing user market.
"This is the close spot astatine the close time," said William Ma, main concern serviceman astatine Grow Investment Group, said successful an interrogation with "CNBC Explains."
"A batch of planetary investors are trying to put successful sectors little delicate to the U.S. tariffs. So home consumption, younger procreation consumption, is simply a much unchangeable oregon little susceptible sector," Ma added.
Mixue has emerged arsenic the sector's heavyweight, operating much than 46,000 stores worldwide by the extremity of 2024. That makes it the world's largest food-and-beverage concatenation by outlet number — up of McDonald's, Starbucks and Subway. Its ultra-low pricing and high-volume exemplary thin heavy connected franchising.
"In 2024, they are increasing astatine astir 22% successful presumption of caller store growth," Ma noted.
Franchising is cardinal to the bubble beverage industry. Most ample bubble beverage chains don't tally the shops themselves. Nearly each outlet is franchised. Parent companies gain from supplying ingredients and equipment, and collecting fees, portion franchisees enarthrosis the costs of rent, labour and utilities.
That exemplary fuels accelerated maturation but comes with trade-offs: maintaining prime and avoiding store cannibalization gets harder arsenic outlets multiply.
"The mean payback play for the concern owner, for the franchisee, is betwixt 18 to 24 months," said Ma, estimating store closure rates astatine astir 20% crossed the market.
But overseas enlargement is nary warrant of success. CNBC's China newsman Elaine Yu noted that replicating the home look overseas comes with added challenges.
"Supply chains are harder to control, and user tastes disagree from metropolis to city. That's wherefore brands are adapting to determination flavors and antithetic store formats to triumph implicit section customers," Yu said.
Market saturation astatine home, rising costs and aggravated terms wars are besides investigating the resilience of these brands. Whether they tin prolong their valuations volition beryllium connected their quality to equilibrium standard with profitability — and beryllium they tin physique much than conscionable a fad.
Watch the afloat explainer by clicking the video astatine the apical of the story.