China's factory activity slows down in October, missing expectations, private PMI shows

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Robots manufacture car parts astatine a mill successful Ningde, China, connected Oct. 17, 2024.

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China's mill enactment maturation successful October missed marketplace expectations, arsenic commercialized tensions with the U.S. intensified during the month, according to a backstage survey released Monday.

The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI, compiled by S&P Global, dropped to 50.6 successful October from the six-month precocious of 51.2 successful September, missing analysts' expectations of 50.9 successful a Reuters poll.

Staying supra the 50-benchmark that separates maturation from contraction, the backstage survey numbers were amended compared to the authoritative survey released past Friday that showed manufacturing enactment falling to 49.0, its worst contraction successful six months.

Private surveys, antecedently conducted by Caixin and S&P Global, person usually painted a amended representation than authoritative polls implicit the past years arsenic they person focused much connected export-oriented manufacturers.

The RatingDog backstage survey covers 650 manufacturers and collects responses successful the 2nd fractional of each period portion the authoritative PMI surveys a larger illustration of over 3,000 companies at month-end.

With the hold of the U.S.-China commercialized truce and expected betterment successful export orders, the manufacturing PMI is apt to rebound modestly successful the coming months arsenic concern assurance stabilizes, said Dongming Xie, managing manager and caput of Asia macro probe astatine OCBC Bank.

China and the U.S. reached a commercialized truce last week pursuing a gathering betwixt American President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, successful South Korea, stabilizing relations aft an escalating commercialized conflict that had sparked fears of a planetary economical downturn.

Under the agreement, the U.S. volition little the fentanyl-linked tariffs connected Chinese goods by fractional to 10%, taking the full complaint connected Chinese goods to astir 47%, successful effect to China pausing its sweeping export controls connected uncommon world metals.

The U.S. volition besides suspend the implementation of the 50% ownership "penetration rule" nether export controls and the Section 301 probe into China's maritime, logistics and shipbuilding sectors.

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