CNBC Daily Open: Fewer rate cuts on the horizon?

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View of the Federal Reserve gathering successful Washington connected Oct. 3, 2024.

Valerie Plesch | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

This study is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our planetary markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to velocity connected everything they request to know, nary substance wherever they are. Like what you see? You tin subscribe here.

What you request to cognize today

U.S. ostentation picks up
The headline inflation complaint successful the U.S. came successful astatine 2.6% for October, successful enactment with marketplace expectations. Core ostentation — which strips retired prices of nutrient and vigor — held dependable astatine 3.3%. The header speechmaking is higher than the Federal Reserve's target, which mightiness complicate the Fed's easing path.

Markets mixed aft ostentation data
U.S. markets were mostly rangebound aft the October ostentation reading, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising conscionable 0.02% and 0.11%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite ended the time with a 0.26% decline. In Asia, markets traded mixed, with Hong Kong shares dropping much than 1%. 

Chinese AI startup takes purpose astatine OpenAI 
Beijing-based Shengshu Technology said its text-to-video instrumentality Vidu volition now beryllium capable to make videos by combining images, expanding on its existing functionality of creating 8-second clips based connected written prompts. While OpenAI — the shaper of ChatGPT — said successful February that its AI exemplary Sora could make one-minute videos from text, it has yet to merchandise the merchandise publicly.

AMD announces layoffs
Chipmaker AMD will lay disconnected 4% of its staff, oregon astir 1,000 workers, arsenic it tries to fortify its presumption successful the artificial quality spot abstraction presently dominated by Nvidia. The steadfast had 26,000 employees astatine the extremity of past year, according to a U.S. SEC filing. AMD is the second-biggest shaper of graphics processing units, oregon GPUs, down Nvidia.

[PRO] Wells Fargo urges caution connected Trump trade 
Wall Street has been pumping wealth into the truthful called "Trump trade," investing into companies and stocks tied to Trump's run promises, but that doesn't mean those bets volition wage off, according to the Wells Fargo Investment Institute. 

The bottommost line

Shakespeare famously said: "All the world's a stage, and each the men and women simply players; They person their exits and their entrances, and 1 antheral successful his clip plays galore parts."
 
With October's ostentation speechmaking coming successful enactment with expectations, the signifier seems acceptable for a last complaint chopped successful December, bringing the Fed Funds complaint to the cardinal bank's people of 4.25%- 4.5% that it had acceptable successful its truthful called "dot plot" released successful September. 
 
It is important to enactment that the October speechmaking is the first-time header ostentation has risen since March, and the 2.6% fig is higher compared to the Fed's people of 2%. 
 
As such, the way present is little wide for 2025. U.S. President Joe Biden volition marque his exit from the Oval Office connected Jan. 20, and President-elect Donald Trump volition marque his entrance, with each his promises of tariffs and taxation cuts. 
 
The 1 antheral then, that has to play galore parts volition beryllium Fed President Jerome Powell. Going backmost to the "dot plot," the Fed successful September had expected that rates volition beryllium chopped by different 100 ground points by the extremity of 2025, and different 50 bps by the extremity of 2026. 
 
However, arsenic economists person said, Trump's policies — if followed done — are apt to beryllium inflationary, and with a projected Republican trifecta — power of presidency, Senate and House — the anticipation that helium volition beryllium capable to enact what helium promised is progressively possible.
 
What this means then, is that the Fed whitethorn beryllium forced to dilatory oregon halt its easing path, if ostentation ticks up again successful a 2nd Trump term. In short, the word "higher for longer" whitethorn rear its head, erstwhile again.

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