CNBC Daily Open: We are all farmers hoping for the end of the U.S.-China trade war

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U.S. President Donald Trump poses for a photograph with China's President Xi Jinping earlier their bilateral gathering during the G20 leaders acme successful Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019.

Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

The specified imaginable of a U.S.-China commercialized woody is capable to nonstop planetary markets higher.

On Monday stateside, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite closed astatine grounds highs, arsenic did Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi during Asian trading hours. European stocks roseate too, but the Stoxx 600 was conscionable an inch distant from its all-time high.

And that's earlier an statement has been signed officially.

"A batch of the forecasts for exertion person been without the payment of China, truthful erstwhile you tin adhd China backmost into the equation, that would astir apt beryllium reasonably optimistic for the markets," Sam Stovall, main concern strategist astatine CFRA Research, told CNBC.

Nvidia, for instance, gave an estimation for the existent 4th that excludes H20 shipments to China — a reminder of however commercialized restrictions person analyzable the outlook for U.S. tech giants.

A ceremonial U.S.-China woody that clarifies — and possibly loosens — commercialized parameters could punctual Big Tech companies to rise their guidance, perchance igniting different question of buying successful a marketplace already dominated by tech heavyweights.

Beyond silicon and software, soybeans are backmost successful play. Reports suggest China whitethorn easiness its unofficial boycott of U.S. soybeans arsenic portion of the statement — a tiny but symbolic concession. That would spell immoderate mode toward assuaging Scott Bessent's symptom due to the fact that he's not conscionable the U.S. Treasury Secretary, but besides "a soybean farmer," arsenic helium enactment it successful a televised interview.

While Bessent meant that virtually — helium owns soybean farmland — successful the wide commercialized warfare betwixt China and the U.S., commercialized tensions person made regular beingness much hard for astir of us, turning america each into reluctant farmers of 1 benignant oregon another. A truce, if it comes, mightiness fto everyone harvest immoderate peace.

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Trump suggests an statement with China is imminent. Speaking aboard Air Force One connected Monday, Trump said helium and Chinese President Xi Jinping are going to "come distant with" a commercialized deal. The U.S. president besides signaled a TikTok woody could travel connected Thursday.

Amazon is preparing to denote largest layoffs successful its history. The cuts, which volition impact astir each division, volition statesman Tuesday, according to a idiosyncratic acquainted with the matter. Up to 30,000 employees volition beryllium affected, Reuters reported.

Tesla could suffer Musk if his wage isn't approved. That's according to Tesla Board Chair Robyn Denholm, who warned that Musk's continued presumption arsenic CEO hinges connected his $1 trillion wage bundle passing a committee vote.

Record highs for U.S. stocks. The 3 large U.S. indexes and the Russell 2000 roseate Monday to adjacent astatine all-time highs, with the S&P 500 closing supra 6,800 for the archetypal time. The pan-European Stoxx 600 added 0.22% amid a broader rally successful planetary stocks.

[PRO] Time to enactment currency elsewhere erstwhile Fed cuts rate. The returns of wealth marketplace funds beryllium connected prevailing involvement rates. When the Fed each but surely cuts rates, investors should commencement moving their funds retired of currency instruments, analysts say.

And finally...

Gold rebounded connected Tuesday arsenic heightened geopolitical uncertainty stemming from Israel-Iran warring and U.S. President Donald Trump's telephone to evacuate Tehran led investors to question safe-haven assets.

Anindito Mukherjee | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Bars and coins bargain the radiance from jewelry arsenic Indians splurge up to $11 cardinal connected golden this Diwali

About 700 cardinal rupees ($8 billion) to 1 trillion rupees ($11 billion) worthy of golden was sold during the five-day Diwali festival that ended Thursday, according to the India Bullion and Jewellers Association, oregon IBJA, and All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council, oregon GJC.

The enthusiasm among Indians implicit buying golden for investments has been rooted successful their hunt for returns. Gold this twelvemonth had risen 66% by mid-October, earlier seeing a crisp descent — but it was inactive up 55% arsenic of Monday.

— Priyanka Salve

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