CNBC's The China Connection newsletter: China's K-visa plans spark worries of a talent flood

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This study is from this week's CNBC's The China Connection newsletter, which brings you insights and investigation connected what's driving the world's second-largest economy. You tin subscribe here.

The large story

Immigration anxieties and a challenging occupation marketplace person sparked an online backlash implicit China's latest effort astatine attracting planetary endowment — a caller visa programme announced successful August.

The program, which was rolled retired connected Wednesday with the purpose of attracting overseas professionals, volition besides trial however China balances its migration argumentation with its pursuit of technological ambitions.

Under the caller rules, young graduates — successful the fields of science, technology, engineering and mathematics oregon STEM — no longer request backing from a section employer and tin bask much flexibility successful presumption for introduction frequence and duration of stay.

The keyword "K-visa" — arsenic China's caller visa class is called — was among the apical searches connected societal media tract Weibo for days, earlier chatter astir National Day postulation jams pushed it disconnected the charts arsenic millions deed the roadworthy for a week-long holiday.

BEIJING, CHINA - JUNE 30: Foreign students presumption Modena level portion visiting Xiaomi Auto Super Factory connected June 30, 2025 successful Beijing, China.

Wang Ziru | China News Service | Getty Images

Chinese societal media users reason that the caller visa tilts the playing tract toward overseas graduates astatine the disbursal of those educated successful China. Others connected Weibo warned that without leader sponsorship, the programme could invitation fraudulent applications and unfastened the doorway to a surge successful arrivals from processing countries, piling unit connected an already strained labour market.

"It's already hard capable to verify section degrees. Now the K-visa would rapidly spawn a cottage manufacture of agencies helping foreigners unafraid entry," 1 user, with the grip sanction "momo has a caller life," wrote connected the platform.

The backlash has prompted an unusually crisp response from authorities media, that has dismissed the disapproval arsenic "misleading" and "narrow-minded." The editorial People's Daily argued that China inactive lacks successful high-level endowment needed to sharpen its technological edge, brushing speech fears of excessive immigration.

Hu Xijin, the outspoken erstwhile main exertion of nationalist tabloid Global Times, called the nationalist backlash "a messaging problem," adding that expatriates relationship for conscionable 0.1% to 0.2% of China's population, compared with 15% successful the U.S.

Beijing's absorption connected courting overseas endowment is successful stark opposition to Washington that precocious introduced visa restrictions, making it hard for overseas professionals to enactment successful the U.S. China lags down the U.S. successful immoderate cardinal fields specified arsenic semiconductors and biotechnology and has been anxious to gully its overseas endowment to assistance it drawback up.

It volition beryllium "a test" for Beijing to negociate the programme amid beardown nationalist opposition, said Dan Wang, China manager astatine geopolitical hazard advisory Eurasia Group, expecting China to support K-visa issuance "tightly controlled successful tiny numbers and strict criteria truthful it looks similar targeted recruitment alternatively than wide immigration."

The statement comes astatine a clip erstwhile China's occupation marketplace has been deteriorating, with the municipality unemployment complaint successful August rising to its highest level since February.

Adding to a mismatch betwixt an abundant proviso of educated workers and a shortage of white-collar openings is an avalanche of 12.2 cardinal assemblage graduates — a grounds precocious — entering the occupation marketplace this year.

The authoritative younker unemployment complaint spiked successful August to 18.9%, the highest fig since the caller strategy of record-keeping took effect successful 2023, excluding students.

Still, fears of expatriates flooding section occupation marketplace look to beryllium overblown arsenic the caller policy, led by state-backed capital, volition people the "top-tech talents" with constricted interaction connected the broader occupation market, said Bob Chen, economist astatine Shanghai-based FG Venture with investments successful precocious technology, semiconductors and AI segments.

Calculated move

While Beijing has not released circumstantial details connected who volition beryllium eligible for the programme oregon whether they volition beryllium allowed to instrumentality up ceremonial employment successful the country, the motion unsocial signals that China is becoming much unfastened to the world.

Meanwhile, the U.S. appears to beryllium closing itself disconnected arsenic President Trump imposed a $100,000 interest for H-1B visa applicants, making it much costly for American companies to bring successful skilled overseas workers.

Sectors tied to strategical rivalry with the U.S. — from semiconductors and cleanable vigor to precocious manufacturing, AI and biotech — volition apt spot astir traction nether China's caller visa arsenic it strives physique its precocious tech ecosystem.

"Winning much American engineers is key, it is simply a accidental for Beijing to showcase the superiority of its system," said Eurasia's Wang, adding that portion India has a ample excavation of engineers, governmental and taste sensitivities could bounds approvals.

A biotech seasoned who spent astir 20 years astatine planetary pharmaceutical firms and present runs a probe halfway successful Shanghai acknowledged that the K-visa could gully much Chinese Americans to China, who person faced a "bamboo ceiling" that inactive limits vocation advancement successful U.S. companies.

Despite signaling a greater openness to planetary talent, the argumentation does not correspond a sweeping liberalization of China's migration policy. China has historically maintained strict migration policies, tightly restricting low-skilled workers with constricted paths to imperishable residency for foreigners.

China wants to usage K-visa to bring successful much talent, but the eventual extremity is inactive to trust connected China's ain capableness to physique aboriginal tech, said George Chan, a spouse astatine Washington-based consultancy The Asia Group and erstwhile Asia argumentation manager astatine Meta.

"Make nary mistake: this is simply a highly calculated determination by China, not an unfastened invitation," said Alfredo Montufar Helu, managing manager astatine advisory GreenPoint successful Beijing. "The extremity isn't wide recruitment [but] the strategical acquisition of exceptional individuals who tin sharpen China's competitory edge."

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