Will arsenic galore radical arsenic past twelvemonth travel to Tory conference? I person a leak that helps research this - and it reveals the enactment itself is expecting fewer.
Normally you don't get immoderate elaborate breakdowns of league information - who is coming and successful what category.
But I've been shared an aboriginal chopped of the numbers from this year. What you tin spot supra is simply a screenshot of the information sent to the enactment board.
I americium told this array is from 11 August and shows the then-current attendance figures which were sent to the Conservative Party board. They revealed numbers owed to beryllium coming to Manchester this week, lagging connected past year.
You tin spot that astatine that stage, determination are much than 1,000 less members owed to travel to league than had been listed successful aboriginal August 2024.
Indeed, the party's people is markedly lower. There are besides less Young Conservatives, though by a overmuch smaller margin.
However, the fig of commercialized guests is up connected past year, arsenic is donors, known arsenic 'Treasurer's Guests', though the fig readying to be Business Day connected Monday is down.
The 'Margaret Thatcher 100th,' a commemoration of her life, is simply a caller lawsuit to people the centenary of the erstwhile Conservative premier minister's commencement which is connected 13 October.
I'm told the existent fig of members coming to Manchester is 3,500, though that is calculated connected a antithetic ground to these - and includes Young Conservatives.
Strength
Another root told maine the fig of members coming to league - calculated connected the supra ground - is astir 2,800 but it was not imaginable to verify that.
A Conservative spokesman said: "This out-of-date study does not bespeak the spot of Conservative Party league 2025.
"There are thousands of members - galore caller to the enactment - hundreds of businesses, and galore different delegates attending to perceive Kemi Badenoch's bold caller imaginativeness for the country.
"This league the Conservatives volition show they are the lone enactment that tin beryllium trusted to present a stronger system and stronger borders for the country."
In effect to the leaked data, Reform UK posted connected X, "The Conservative Party is finished."