Expectations low ahead of EU-China 50th anniversary summit in Beijing

3 weeks ago 9

Top European Union officials Ursula von der Leyen and Antonio Costa are owed to conscionable with Chinese President Xi Jinping successful Beijing arsenic the EU and China people 50 years of diplomatic relations amid simmering tensions.

Von der Leyen and Costa, who respectively caput up the European Commission and the European Council, volition get successful Beijing connected Thursday for the 25th EU-China summit. But successful the lead-up to the one-day summit, it was unclear whether von der Leyen and Costa would really conscionable with Xi owed to the ongoing governmental tensions betwixt Brussels and Beijing.

Their gathering was primitively planned arsenic a two-day acme successful Brussels, but Xi declined the invitation to attend, according to a study by The Financial Times, citing radical acquainted with the matter.

It was lone this week that China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs formally confirmed that a gathering betwixt Xi, von der Leyen, Costa and Chinese Premier Li Qiang would spell ahead.

Despite the backmost and distant implicit scheduling, Beijing has billed the lawsuit arsenic a accidental to reset relations with Europe, said Marina Rudyak, an adjunct prof astatine the Institute of Chinese Studies astatine Germany’s Heidelberg University.

“What we spot a batch from the Chinese side, and this is rather constant, is ‘let’s normalise the relations, let’s absorption connected pragmatic cooperation, let’s absorption connected wherever we hold and accommodate wherever we disagree’,” Rudyak told Al Jazeera.

In beforehand of the summit, Chinese authorities media published a affirmative investigation of EU-China relations – reports that are often seen arsenic an indirect mode for Chinese officials to remark connected issues of the day.

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun likewise described the China-EU narration successful glowing presumption connected Tuesday, arsenic “one of the astir influential bilateral relationships successful the world”, during a gathering with reporters.

“The China-EU narration is present astatine a captious juncture of gathering connected past achievements and opening up a caller chapter,” Guo said.

“The narration faces some caller opportunities and caller challenges,” Guo added, noting an “increasingly turbulent planetary landscape, with rising unilateralism and protectionism”.

Tensions implicit Xinjiang, Ukraine 

Despite Beijing’s connection of an olive subdivision to Brussels, expectations are debased among Western observers that the EU and China volition spot immoderate large breakthroughs, owed to respective ongoing and protracted disputes.

The EU and China person often sparred implicit issues specified arsenic quality rights and governmental oppression successful locations including Hong Kong, Tibet and Xinjiang, but the narration took a crook successful 2021 erstwhile the EU sanctioned Chinese officials for their oppression of taste number Uighur Muslims.

China responded with sanctions of its ain connected 10 Europeans, including members of the European Parliament, and respective deliberation tanks.

Beijing lifted sanctions connected the European MEPs successful April successful a motion of goodwill earlier the EU-China summit, but different governmental fractures stay implicit China’s ongoing and adjacent narration with Russia since Moscow launched its full-scale penetration of Ukraine successful 2022.

Beijing is besides wide seen arsenic keeping Russia afloat economically amid ongoing planetary sanctions, peculiarly by buying Russian vigor exports.

The EU has besides accused China of skirting arms embargoes by selling “dual-use” goods to Russia, which tin beryllium utilized for civilian and subject purposes.

China has defended its actions, saying that it has agelong wanted to spot a “negotiation, ceasefire and peace” successful Ukraine.

Still, European officials were alarmed successful June, erstwhile Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi reportedly told his EU counterpart that Beijing did not privation to spot Russia suffer the warfare against Ukraine due to the fact that it would escaped up the US’s attention, according to Rudyak astatine Heidelberg University.

The bloc continues to scrutinise Beijing’s economical ties with Russia, past week sanctioning 2 Chinese banks for the archetypal clip arsenic portion of its latest bundle of sanctions against Moscow aimed astatine ending the war. Five companies based successful China were besides included connected the EU’s sanctions list.

China’s Ministry of Commerce said that the sanctions connected Chinese banks and companies “seriously harmed” commercialized and economical ties with the EU and threatened to respond with its ain measures against Europe.

William Yang, a elder expert for Northeast Asia astatine the Crisis Group, a Brussels-based nonpartisan deliberation tank, said these issues volition formed a shadiness implicit the EU-China acme connected Thursday.

“Beijing considers its narration with Russia arsenic a halfway involvement amid ongoing contention with the US, and it keeps denying the EU’s disapproval that it is an enabler of Russia’s warfare against Ukraine,” Yang said.

“With these cardinal contradictions, prospects of immoderate important breakthrough astatine the upcoming acme are unlikely.”

A adjacent but bumpy commercialized relationship

Another caller root of hostility has been the EU-China economical relationship.

China is the EU’s third-largest trading spouse for goods and services, but EU officials are acrophobic astir their ballooning commercialized shortage with China, which doubled successful worth betwixt 2015 and 2024, to scope 305.8 cardinal euros ($359bn) past year, according to EU commercialized data.

The EU and subordinate states person agelong accused China of engaging successful overproduction and “dumping” its inexpensive state-subsidised exports connected the European market, but the contented has heightened recently.

“The presumption connected the commercialized and equilibrium successful Europe is somewhat antithetic from the United States… wherever it’s fundamentally astir who’s going to beryllium fig one. This is simply a magnitude that is not contiguous successful Europe,” Rudyak said.

“Europe is truly acrophobic astir its halfway industries, including the automotive. There is simply a immense interest astir Chinese EV overcapacity being dumped connected the EU marketplace astatine prices wherever European companies cannot compete, and subsidised Chinese overcapacity crowding retired European backbone industries,” she continued.

European automakers person besides suffered from Beijing’s caller determination to curb its exports of uncommon world minerals and magnets, which are indispensable components successful galore car parts and electrical vehicles.

Beijing, for its part, has opened its ain investigations into European “dumping”, targeting cardinal products similar dairy, brandy and pork.

Beijing has different frustrations with Europe, adjacent arsenic it tries to reset relations, according to Wang Yi-wei, the manager of the EU Research Centre astatine Renmin University successful the Chinese capital.

At the apical of the database for Beijing is the EU’s often conflicting attack to its narration with the US and China, Wang said.

“China has astatine times engaged successful wishful thinking, expecting Europe to defy US influence. In reality, however, the EU seeks to equilibrium some resisting American dominance and cooperating with the US, including supporting its efforts to incorporate China – for example, justifying tariff disputes arsenic addressing ‘Chinese challenges’, alternatively than questioning US unilateralism,” Wang said successful remarks shared with Al Jazeera.

China wants the EU to halt portraying their narration arsenic 1 of “competitive cooperation”, and alternatively spot it done the paradigm of “cooperative competition”, helium noted.

With expectations for a breakthrough low, Marta Mucznik, a elder EU expert astatine the Crisis Group, said observers anticipation that the acme volition astatine slightest unfastened up channels of connection betwixt officials from some sides.

“The EU doesn’t expect breakthroughs from this acme but sees it arsenic a accidental to support connection channels unfastened with Chinese leaders portion it works to carve retired its geopolitical relation and trim captious dependencies,” she said.

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