Gold smashes new record of $4,600 as Powell probe and global flashpoints ignite safe-haven rush

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One kilogram golden bars stacked astatine the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp.

Matt Jelonek | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Gold deed a caller grounds precocious connected Monday, extending a blistering rally arsenic investors piled into havens amid a swirl of geopolitical and argumentation shocks successful caller days.

Spot golden precocious 2% to deed implicit $4,600 an ounce for the archetypal time, earlier paring gains slightly, information from LSEG showed. Prices person risen astir 6% this twelvemonth unsocial truthful far.

An investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and speculation implicit whether it could hasten a enactment alteration astatine the Fed has added a caller furniture of argumentation risk: "Especially if it results successful him stepping down and past leaving the Fed earlier than scheduled and is replaced by idiosyncratic much successful favour of complaint cuts," said Morningstar equity expert Jon Mills.

Federal prosecutors are examining a $2.5 cardinal renovation of the Fed's Washington office and Powell's grounds to Congress, Powell said Sunday night. The Fed Chair added that the probe stems from President Donald Trump's long-running vexation with the Fed's reluctance to chopped involvement rates arsenic aggressively oregon arsenic rapidly arsenic helium has urged.

The script that the appointment of a caller Fed Chair whitethorn pave the mode for faster interest-rate cuts, is traditionally supportive for gold. Lower involvement rates thin to assistance golden by reducing the accidental outgo of holding a metallic that pays nary yield. That effect has been amplified by caller U.S. economical information that pointed to a cooling labour market.

Latest flashpoints involving Iran and Venezuela besides further catalyzed gold's entreaty arsenic a harmless haven.

Tensions with Iran person resurfaced aft Washington signaled it is weighing options to respond to unrest successful the country. The U.S. besides launched a subject cognition successful Venezuela astatine the commencement of the twelvemonth that saw the seizure of the country's president Nicolas Maduro past weekend.

"They each adhd to the communicative of heightened geopolitical uncertainty that led america to prime golden arsenic 1 of highest condemnation plus classes this year," said Rajat Bhattacharya, elder concern strategist astatine Standard Chartered.

While the U.S. enactment successful Venezuela has appeared to scope a comparatively swift resolution, the occurrence inactive highlights the persistence of geopolitical uncertainty and the hazard of flare-ups crossed aggregate regions, Bank of Singapore's Eli Lee likewise echoed.

How bash  the events successful  Iran and Venezuela interaction   China and the planetary  commodities market?

In specified an environment, Lee expects golden prices to spot further enactment amid an ongoing backdrop of geopolitical unpredictability. Beyond geopolitics, the structural lawsuit for golden remains intact, the slope added, arsenic investors reassess portfolio allocations pursuing years of sanctions, geopolitical fragmentation and fiscal-monetary complexity. 

HSBC said trading momentum could transportation prices to $5,000 an ounce successful the archetypal fractional of 2026, adjacent arsenic volatility remains elevated and pullbacks whitethorn go much frequent.

The London-headquartered slope attributed the rally to a operation of safe-haven demand, a weaker U.S. dollar and argumentation uncertainty, noting that its FX strategists expect the greenback to stay brushed successful 2026. 

"Mounting fiscal deficits successful the U.S. and different nations are encouraging golden request and whitethorn beryllium a cardinal origin going forward," the slope said.

Central banks are besides expected to stay beardown buyers this twelvemonth arsenic they diversify distant from the dollar, though HSBC cautioned that purchases whitethorn autumn beneath the peaks seen betwixt 2022 and 2024 owed to precocious prices.

Gold prices saw a astir 65% yearly summation successful 2025, the highest successful decades.

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