Samsung expects second-quarter profits to more than halve as it struggles to capture AI demand

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Samsung signage during the Nvidia GPU Technology Conference (GTC) successful San Jose, California, US, connected Thursday, March 20, 2025.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

South Korea's Samsung Electronics connected Tuesday forecast a 56% autumn successful profits for the 2nd 4th arsenic the institution struggles to seizure request from artificial quality spot person Nvidia. 

The representation spot and smartphone shaper projected operating nett for the 4th ending June to beryllium astir 4.6 trillion won, down from 10.44 trillion Korean won twelvemonth implicit year.

The fig is simply a deeper plunge compared to SmartEstimate from LSEG, which is weighted toward forecasts from analysts who are much consistently accurate.

According to LSEG SmartEstimate, Samsung was expected to station an operating nett of 6.26 trillion won ($4.57 billion) for the quarter. Meanwhile, Samsung projected its gross to deed 74 trillion won, falling abbreviated of the LSEG SmartEstimate of 75.55 trillion won.

Shares of Samsung Electronics fell arsenic overmuch arsenic 1.13% successful aboriginal choppy commercialized Tuesday pursuing the merchandise of the earning estimates.

Samsung is simply a starring subordinate successful the planetary smartphone marketplace and besides 1 of the world's largest makers of representation chips, which are utilized successful devices specified arsenic laptops and servers.

The institution said successful a connection that inventory worth adjustments and the interaction of U.S. restrictions connected precocious AI chips for China had contributed to the diminution successful profits.

The institution has besides been falling down competitors similar SK Hynix and Micron successful high-bandwidth representation chips — an precocious benignant of representation that is being deployed successful AI chips.

"The disappointing net are owed to ongoing operating losses successful the foundry business, portion the upside successful the high-margin HBM concern remains muted this quarter," MS Hwang, probe manager astatine Counterpoint Research, said astir the net guidance.

SK Hynix, the person successful HBM, has secured a presumption arsenic Nvidia's cardinal supplier. While Samsung has reportedly been moving to get the latest mentation of its HBM chips certified by Nvidia, a study from a local outlet suggests these plans person been pushed backmost to astatine slightest September.

The institution declined to remark connected the presumption of its deals with Nvidia, but said that improved HBM products are proceeding with lawsuit valuation and shipments.

Ray Wang, probe manager of semiconductors, proviso concatenation and emerging technology astatine Futurum Group told CNBC that it is wide that Samsung has yet to walk Nvidia's qualification for its astir precocious HBM.

"Given that Nvidia accounts for astir 70% of planetary HBM demand, the hold meaningfully caps near-term upside," Wang said. He noted that portion Samsung has secured immoderate HBM proviso for AI processors from AMD, this triumph is improbable to lend to second-quarter results owed to the timing of accumulation ramps.

Meanwhile, Samsung's spot foundry concern continues to look anemic orders and superior contention from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Wang added.

Reuters reported successful September that Samsung had instructed its subsidiaries worldwide to chopped 30% of unit successful immoderate divisions, citing sources acquainted with the matter.

Samsung Electronics' banal is up implicit 16% year-to-date, according to LSEG data. The institution volition merchandise its elaborate third-quarter results towards the extremity of this month.

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