These countries have the most at stake as the U.S. heads to the polls

The satellite is watching the U.S. statesmanlike election arsenic voters spell to the polls Tuesday, but the ballot is much consequential for immoderate countries.

For immoderate nations, the ballot could marque the quality betwixt warfare and peace, stableness and volatility, oregon prosperity oregon economical weakness. That concern is adjacent much pronounced for Ukraine, whose territorial integrity could adjacent beryllium astatine stake.

Here we instrumentality a look astatine immoderate of the countries with the astir to triumph oregon suffer from the predetermination whoever enters the White House, beryllium it Republican former President Donald Trump or Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris.

China is undoubtedly the United States' biggest economical rival, and the enmity shows small motion of waning, whoever becomes the adjacent U.S. president.

Trump has already threatened to revive a commercialized warfare that began during his archetypal word successful office, successful which helium imposed $250 cardinal worthy of tariffs connected Chinese imports. Trump defended the measurement arsenic a mode of reducing a yawning commercialized shortage with China, and to boost American jobs and competitiveness.

With its ongoing warfare with Russia, and Kyiv mostly reliant connected overseas subject assistance to alteration it to support fighting, Ukraine volition beryllium watching the predetermination closely, arsenic volition Moscow.

It's wide agreed that a Trump medication and hard-line Republicans would beryllium acold much hostile toward granting Ukraine much subject aid, importantly inhibiting its quality to proceed to combat backmost against Russia.

Trump has besides boasted helium could extremity the warfare successful 24 hours if elected, signaling that helium would propulsion the plug connected Ukraine backing successful bid to unit it into a negotiated colony with Russia. That would apt mean the relinquishing of astir 20% of its territory successful the southbound and eastbound that's presently occupied by Russian forces.

Choosing to proceed to combat without U.S. enactment could mean Ukraine loses adjacent much land, however. The U.S. predetermination for Ukraine is, therefore, an existential one.

It's apt that adjacent a Kyiv-friendly medication nether Harris, who has pledged to proceed supporting the war-torn nation, could conflict to walk much fiscal enactment for Ukraine, depending connected which enactment dominates Congress.

Harris said a aboriginal medication of hers would enactment Ukraine "for arsenic agelong arsenic it takes," but neither she nor Washington has intelligibly defined what that connection means, what a Ukrainian triumph looks like, oregon whether determination is simply a bounds to U.S. aid.

The Middle East, however, is an country successful which Trump's and Harris' overseas argumentation positions mightiness beryllium much aligned — some candidates pledged continued U.S. enactment for Israel arsenic it pursues Iranian proxies, the militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah successful Gaza and Lebanon, respectively, while besides pushing for the struggle to extremity soon.

Iran has threatened to retaliate against Israel's large-scale rocket strikes connected the country's subject facilities past month, meaning that a rhythm of tit-for-tat exchanges betwixt the adversaries could proceed into the fall.

Trump precocious formed himself arsenic a "protector" of Israel, promoting his past enactment for the state astatine the Israeli-American Council acme successful September and suggesting that Israel faces "total annihilation" if helium isn't elected, without backing up the claim. He besides caused a disturbance by telling the assemblage that "anybody who's Jewish and loves being Jewish and loves Israel is simply a fool if they ballot for a Democrat."

Trump gained popularity successful Israel during his archetypal word successful bureau aft breaking with decades of U.S. contented by formally recognizing Jerusalem arsenic the superior of Israel. He besides officially recognized the disputed Golan Heights country of the state arsenic being nether the sovereignty of Israel, garnering further praise.

A canvass conducted past week by the Israel Democracy Institute found that astir 65% felt that Trump would beryllium amended for Israeli interests, acold supra the 13% who felt Harris would beryllium better. Just implicit 15% said determination was nary quality betwixt the 2 candidates, portion 7% accidental they didn't know.

Harris has been accused of taking an ambivalent stance connected Israel aft her disapproval of the country's subject strategy, saying the nonaccomplishment of beingness successful Gaza successful the past twelvemonth was "devastating" and "heartbreaking."

Harris has tried to dispel the Republicans' characterization of her arsenic anti-Israel, stating successful August that she she would "always basal up for Israel's close to support itself and I volition ever guarantee Israel has the quality to support itself," arsenic good arsenic deploring Hamas' Oct. 7 attacks past year.

As for Iran, regional and Western officials told Reuters they judge a Trump presidency would beryllium atrocious quality for Tehran, with the imaginable for Trump to springiness the greenlight to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to onslaught Iran's atomic sites — a determination vetoed by Biden — behaviour targeted assassinations, and reimpose his "maximum unit policy" done much sanctions connected its lipid industry.

Harris, meanwhile, is seen arsenic acold much apt to proceed Biden's overseas argumentation stance if she wins office, to de-escalate tensions. She said herself successful precocious October that her connection to Iran aft Israel's latest strikes would be, "do not respond" and that "there indispensable beryllium a de-escalation successful the region."

Ambassador Mitchell B. Reiss, distinguished chap astatine the Royal United Services Institute deliberation tank, commented Monday that a Harris medication would not deviate excessively overmuch from its existent course.

"We bash not cognize her satellite view, her argumentation preferences, adjacent her choices for elder Cabinet positions.  My champion conjecture is that President Harris would mostly proceed Joe Biden's overseas policy, prioritising bully relationships with allies and friends, and placing a dense accent connected diplomacy," Reiss said.

"What would a 2nd Trump word look like? Here, we person a amended idea.  We already cognize that Trump views the satellite much successful idiosyncratic and transactional presumption than successful strategical terms. 

He is skeptical astir U.S. commitments to allies and sending U.S. troops overseas — helium is not committed successful the aforesaid mode that erstwhile presidents person been to the accepted relation the U.S. has played successful constructing and starring the wide planetary bid that has brought america truthful overmuch bid and prosperity since WW2," Reiss noted.