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The US has announced the Gaza ceasefire is moving to signifier two, wherever “demilitarisation, technocratic governance, and reconstruction” volition beryllium the focus.
Hamas leaders and representatives of different Palestinian factions successful Gaza are successful the Egyptian capital, Cairo, for talks, but heavy uncertainty remains regarding the adjacent steps.
Most of the goals successful Trump’s 20-point plan that became the ground for a ceasefire successful Gaza 3 months agone ne'er became a world connected the ground. Here is what has happened successful each of the main points of the program since the ceasefire took effect connected October 10, 2025.
What was expected to hap successful signifier one?
Phase 1 of Trump’s 20-point plan was designed to instantly halt the fighting, facilitate the speech of Israeli and Palestinian captives, acceptable a bound for Israeli withdrawal from parts of Gaza, let the afloat introduction of humanitarian aid, and unfastened the Rafah crossing betwixt Gaza and Egypt.
(Al Jazeera)1. Halt connected attacks
Status: Did not stop
While the regular fig of Israeli attacks has decreased since the commencement of the ceasefire, Israel has killed astatine slightest 451 Palestinians and injured 1,251 – an mean of astir 5 killed each time – since October 10.
More than 100 children, including astatine slightest 60 boys and 40 girls, are among those killed, according to UNICEF.
2. Israeli captives returned successful speech for merchandise of Palestinian prisoners
Status: All captives returned but for one; Israel has not released each the prisoners agreed on
Under the ceasefire deal, Hamas released each 20 surviving Israeli captives successful speech for astir 2,000 Palestinian prisoners. Hamas has besides returned 27 of the 28 bodies of deceased captives, portion the hunt is inactive connected for the remaining body, believed to beryllium buried nether the rubble of buildings bombed by Israel.
However, Suhail al-Hindi, a subordinate of the Hamas governmental bureau and 1 of the supervisors of the speech deal, told Al Jazeera that Israel has failed to merchandise each women and kid prisoners arsenic stipulated successful the agreement.
It besides continues to clasp respective doctors, including Dr Hussam Abu Safia, Dr Marwan al-Hams, and Dr Tasneem al-Hams, among galore others.
Israel has besides reneged connected a clause successful the statement nether which it was to let the introduction of DNA-matching instrumentality intended to place the bodies of deceased Palestinian prisoners.
3. Israeli withdrawal
Status: Did not afloat withdraw
As portion of the ceasefire deal, Israel was expected to retreat its troops to an country dubbed the “yellow line”, which takes up much than 50 percent of Gaza and is marked connected the crushed with a bid of yellowish factual blocks.
Al Jazeera’s Sanad fact-checking bureau recovered that Israeli forces person been moving these blocks, thereby expanding their areas of power and forcing Palestinians into progressively smaller clusters. Israel has besides carried retired large-scale demolitions of neighbourhoods and surrounding areas adjacent the yellowish line.
4. Full humanitarian aid
Status: Israel continues to restrict aid
The ceasefire stipulated that “full assistance volition beryllium instantly sent into the Gaza Strip”. However, the world connected the crushed remains precise different. Israel continues to restrict aid.
According to the Gaza Government Media Office, from October 10, 2025 to January 9, 2026, lone 23,019 trucks entered Gaza retired of 54,000, averaging 255 trucks per day. That is lone 43 percent of the trucks that were expected to person been allowed in.
Israel has blocked indispensable and nutritious nutrient items, including meat, dairy, and vegetables, important for a balanced diet. Instead, non-nutritious foodstuffs are being allowed, specified arsenic snacks, chocolate, crisps and brushed drinks.
In addition, Israel has banned much than 3 twelve international organisations, including Doctors Without Borders, known by its French initials MSF; Oxfam; the Norwegian Refugee Council; CARE International; the International Rescue Committee and respective different charities from operating successful Gaza, further worsening already dire conditions for Palestinians.
5. Opening of Rafah crossing
Status: Did not happen
The Rafah crossing, a cardinal lifeline for assistance entry, travel, and aesculapian evacuations, and the main borderline constituent betwixt the Gaza Strip and Egypt, remains closed by Israeli forces.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel volition lone reopen the crossing aft it receives the assemblage of the past remaining deceased captive, who is buried nether the rubble pursuing much than 2 years of Israeli onslaught.
What is expected to hap successful signifier two?
Phase 2 is expected to displacement the absorption to semipermanent governance and the constitution of a sheet of Palestinian technocrats to pb post-war Gaza.
Trump’s peculiar envoy Steve Witkoff said it “establishes a transitional technocratic Palestinian medication successful Gaza” and marks the opening of “the afloat demilitarisation and reconstruction of Gaza, chiefly the disarmament of each unauthorised personnel”.
However, Al Jazeera’s Hind Khoudary, reporting from Gaza City, said the Gaza woody has truthful acold brought nary alteration connected the ground. “We’re inactive proceeding the dependable of drones [hovering above] and determination person been a mates of explosions successful the aboriginal greeting hours, arsenic demolitions instrumentality spot crossed Gaza.”
How galore times has Israel violated the ceasefire?
Since the declaration of a ceasefire successful the Gaza Strip connected October 10, 2025, Israel has violated the statement with near-daily attacks, sidesplitting hundreds of people.
Israel violated the ceasefire statement astatine slightest 1,193 times from October 10, 2025 to January 9, 2026, done the continuation of attacks by air, artillery and nonstop shootings, the Government Media Office successful Gaza reports.
According to an analysis by Al Jazeera, Israel has attacked Gaza connected 82 retired of the past 97 days of the ceasefire up until January 14, meaning determination were lone 15 days successful this play erstwhile nary convulsive attacks, deaths oregon injuries were reported.
Despite continuing attacks, the US insists that the “ceasefire” is inactive holding.
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