Will Trump’s new Gaza ceasefire proposal end Israel’s genocide?

3 months ago 18

United States President Donald Trump is pushing for a ceasefire woody successful Gaza aft issuing a “last warning” to the Palestinian radical Hamas.

Trump provided fewer details, but helium insinuated that the already catastrophic warfare connected Gaza – successful which Israel has already killed much than 64,500 Palestinians and a famine has been declared – could get adjacent worse if Hamas did not taxable to the presumption of his caller proposal.

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Negotiators from the US, Qatar, and Egypt person been moving connected a ceasefire woody for months, but Israeli officials person repeatedly rejected oregon failed to respond to efforts to bring an extremity to their subject operations.

Most recently, Hamas accepted a ceasefire connection crafted months agone by Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which would person resulted successful the partial merchandise of captives held successful Gaza.

However, Israel and the US backed retired aft Netanyahu changed his tune and insisted connected a afloat merchandise of captives – arsenic good arsenic the afloat surrender of Hamas. Trump is present claiming that his caller connection could pb to a antithetic and much affirmative outcome.

“We’re moving connected a solution that whitethorn beryllium precise bully … You’ll beryllium proceeding astir it beauteous soon. We’re trying to get it ended, get the hostages back,” the US president told reporters successful Washington, DC connected Sunday evening, referring to the Israeli captives inactive successful Gaza.

Here’s each you request to cognize astir Trump’s latest program and if it volition halt Israel’s genocidal warfare successful Gaza.

What is the plan?

Little accusation has been disclosed astir the deal. However, Israeli media outlets accidental that the connection is akin to 1 antecedently projected by US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, but with a fewer important differences.

Witkoff had antecedently proposed a deal wherever fractional of the surviving Israeli captives would beryllium released, which would past pb to a 60-day ceasefire, and negotiations for a imperishable extremity to the war. This was agreed to by Israel, but then, erstwhile Hamas had besides indicated its agreement, Netanyahu insisted connected the merchandise of each the captives, reportedly telling the Israeli furniture that “a partial woody is not relevant”, and that “Hamas indispensable beryllium destroyed”.

The existent connection being pushed by Trump appears to telephone for a merchandise of each Israeli captives from the get-go, successful speech for an unspecified fig of Palestinian captives successful Israeli prisons, and past lone negotiations – but nary imperishable extremity to the war.

“[The caller proposal] is fundamentally a saltation of the Witkoff program – a hostages-for-prisoners swap, aft which negotiations volition commence to extremity the war,” according to an investigation successful the Israeli paper Haaretz.

The important quality is that the merchandise of each the captives would not travel successful speech for an contiguous extremity to the war, leaving Israel with small inducement to not proceed attacking Gaza with adjacent much strength successful pursuit of its stated extremity to wholly destruct Hamas. That extremity is hard to quantify, and galore Palestinians spot it arsenic utile screen for the implicit demolition of Gaza.

How has Hamas responded?

Hamas confirmed it had received a US proposal. The radical enactment retired a connection saying it welcomed “any inaugural that helps successful the efforts to halt the aggression against our people”.

Hamas has repeatedly stuck to its ain position: that the remaining Israeli captives held successful Gaza beryllium released successful speech for guarantees that Israel would halt its attacks and retreat from Gaza.

“We affirm our contiguous readiness to beryllium astatine the dialog array to sermon the merchandise of each prisoners successful speech for a wide declaration to extremity the war, the afloat withdrawal from Gaza, and the enactment of a committee to negociate Gaza from Palestinian independents, who volition instantly statesman their work,” a Hamas connection obtained by the quality outlet Drop Site News is reported to person said.

Writing connected Telegram, elder Hamas authoritative Basem Naim said: “It is wide that the superior extremity is to scope the refusal of the connection and not scope an statement that leads to the extremity of the war.”

A Palestinian antheral   carries a wounded kid  aft  an Israeli airstrike connected  a house, successful  Gaza City, September 7, 2025. REUTERS/Khamis Al-RifiA Palestinian antheral carries a wounded kid aft an Israeli aerial onslaught connected a location successful Gaza City, September 7, 2025 [Khamis Al-Rifi/Reuters]

What is Israel’s position?

Israel has accepted the proposal, according to a property league that Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Saar gave connected Monday. He said that Israel was acceptable to extremity the warfare successful speech for each the captives and for Hamas laying down its weapons.

Hamas has antecedently said that it would surrender its weapons lone if Israel withdraws from Gaza and agrees to a Palestinian authorities made up of the occupied West Bank and Gaza, with occupied East Jerusalem arsenic its capital.

Despite Israel’s backing for Trump’s proposal, immoderate analysts judge Israel volition aboriginal effort to rotation the connection and assertion that they accepted it portion Hamas were the ones to refuse. This has precedence.

Hamas has antecedently accepted ceasefire proposals, lone for Netanyahu to adhd conditions helium knows volition not beryllium amenable to the radical – oregon to Palestinians – arsenic a maneuver to proceed the war.

In the meantime, Israeli officials are continuing to endanger Gaza.

Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz warned connected Monday that a “powerful hurricane” volition deed the territory and destruct Hamas targets, arsenic Israel destroys civilian high-rise buildings crossed the Gaza Strip.

Also connected Monday, Netanyahu threatened Gaza City residents, telling them to “get retired of there”, and that a crushed cognition was astir to statesman successful the city.

Will the connection work?

Trump is assured it will.

“I deliberation we’re going to get them all,” helium said of the instrumentality of the Israeli captives. Trump had antecedently predicted connected August 25 that the warfare would travel to a “conclusive ending” wrong 3 weeks.

But it is unclear wherefore this clip volition beryllium immoderate antithetic from erstwhile Trump made past promises to extremity the war. Analysts mostly judge Trump’s latest connection volition conscionable akin fates arsenic past ones, mostly owed to Netanyahu’s reticence to extremity the war.

“It won’t pb to thing due to the fact that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has nary tendency oregon involvement to extremity the war,” Chaim Levinson wrote successful an investigation for Haaretz. “Rather, helium wants to assertion that Hamas is being recalcitrant truthful helium tin support it going for galore months.”

The US nether Trump has besides shown small appetite to rein successful Netanyahu. Back successful May, Witkoff told Qatari and Egyptian mediators that the US volition not “force Israel to extremity the Gaza war”.

Can Trump beryllium trusted?

Trump is saying that if Hamas gives up each the remaining captives, the US volition marque definite negotiations progress. However, Trump made a akin committedness erstwhile his squad helped outgoing US President Joe Biden ink a ceasefire woody that came into effect connected January 19.

Netanyahu unilaterally violated the ceasefire to proceed the warfare 2 months later.

Critics are sceptical that Netanyahu volition instrumentality to immoderate aboriginal ceasefire statement unless the US reins him successful and holds Israel accountable.

“There is precise bully crushed not to spot either Netanyahu oregon Trump astatine this infinitesimal connected forcing Israel to instrumentality to its word,” said Omar Rahman, an adept connected Israel-Palestine with the Middle East Council connected Global Affairs, a deliberation vessel successful Doha, Qatar.

“That is particularly existent successful airy of their nationalist plans to ethnically cleanse Gaza and crook it into an American existent property development,” helium told Al Jazeera.

Trump antecedently projected that Gaza’s colonisation beryllium forced retired and that a “Gaza Riviera” beryllium built connected the ruins of the territory, an thought wide condemned arsenic taste cleansing. The US president has mostly dropped notation of the proposal, though helium and his medication person occasionally returned to the idea.

What happens next?

Israel’s genocide successful Gaza does not look similar it volition extremity successful the foreseeable future.

As Trump levels threats astatine Hamas, medics successful Gaza person constricted supplies and struggle to dainty patients, survivors picture being successful parts of Gaza arsenic “living successful a portion of hell”, much children are starving to death, and Israeli forces target the Strip’s remaining infrastructure.

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